About the Markets

Market Update Video – August 5, 2024

After a bright start to the year, some dark and stormy clouds have gathered above Wall Street. Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report raised concerns that cracks have formed in the US economy and the Fed is waiting too long to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, a group of disappointing Big Tech earnings last week showed how AI investments are not yet paying off as investors had hoped.
Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The views and opinions expressed are not necessarily those of  Raymond James. This material is being provided for information purposes only, it not a complete description, it is not a recommendation, and it is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, estate, or investment planning advice as individual situations will vary. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or that any of the forecasts mentioned will occur. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. This information does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.

This material is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or rollover any asset, adopt an investment strategy, retain a specific investment manager or use a particular account type. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, tax and financial condition, or particular needs of any specific person. We encourage you to seek personalized advice from qualified professionals regarding all personal finance issues.

CSP #564884 Exp. 8.5.25

Investment Committee Meeting Summary – November 2023

Investment Committee Meeting Summary – November 2023

Investment Committee Meeting Summary:

Our advisors review fund performance by day, week, and month. And the Investment Committee meets at least quarterly to evaluate the portfolio construction of advisory accounts, proactively rebalance portfolio construction, watch for red flags and perform stress tests to gauge performance in various market environments.

Market Insights and Strategies

With the end of 2023 swiftly approaching, it’s a pivotal time to stay up to date on new developments. We’ve witnessed a year with its fair share of economic and market twists and turns. The journey from a rather challenging 2022 to the present has been a roller coaster ride, marked by recession fears, inflation concerns, rising interest rates, global unrest, and the ever-looming possibility of a federal government shutdown.

In reflecting on 2022, we remember it was a tough year for equities, with major market indexes like the S&P 500 ending in the red. However, stepping into 2023, we’ve observed a different story unfold. As of late September, equity markets have delivered positive returns. It’s a testament to the resilience of the market and the dynamism of investors.

Constantly Adapting

In response to the ongoing challenges, we’ve proactively adjusted our investment approach to better suit the changing landscape. During our investment committee meeting, we utilized our relationships with T. Rowe Price, as we carefully reviewed our investment strategies together to help ensure they are in sync with the present market conditions. One of our key observations was our favoritism of large-cap growth funds to small-cap positions. This strategic shift reflects our anticipation of potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and the subsequent impact on the market. Typically, larger companies are better equipped to weather the effects of such rate hikes.

Certain of Uncertainty

Inflation has seen a slight easing since its peak in January 2022 but continues to remain above the Federal Reserve’s targeted 2%. This lingering level below the threshold underscores the challenge of curbing spending, with the final leg of this journey proving to be the most difficult. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has recently hit the pause button on rate hikes, although the specter of future increases looms on the horizon with market expectations suggest a potential rate hike in December. It is worth noting that historical data indicates positive market performance after the conclusion of a hiking cycle. Conversations about a possible recession continue, reminding us that economic downturns are inherent phases of the business cycle. In the realm of global geopolitics, tensions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict cast shadows of uncertainty over the market, prompting us to stay vigilant of potential international market volatility. While forecasting the future remains elusive, our preparation for various scenarios is unwavering.

Our Commitment to Your Financial Success

We are remaining focused on an informed, long-term planning and a diversified approach. The decisions we make are grounded in our commitment to our clients’ financial well-being. We anticipate further market volatility and continue to adapt our strategies accordingly.

As we look ahead, we’ll keep a vigilant eye on market movements and remain steadfast in our dedication to your financial success. We appreciate your trust in our team and are here to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape together.

As always, we’re here for you. Please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or need assistance with your financial planning. Thank you for your continued trust in our team.

Market corrections – even recessions – are part of normal market cycles so it’s important you work with a financial advisor who understands your risk tolerance and wants to help you protect and preserve wealth. We’re with you every step of the way, so you can focus on what matters most to you.

Are you confident your assets are invested and managed appropriately? 

Get #CornerstoneConfident – book a financial planning strategy appointment today by

calling 605-357-8553 or emailing cfsteam@mycfsgroup.com.

Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herin will prove to be correct. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected, including asset allocation and diversification. To determine what is appropriate for you, consult a qualified professional. Raymond James is not affiliated and does not endorse T. Rowe Price. CSP #339165 11/26/23

Quiz – Market Volatility vs Risk

What’s the Difference Between Market Volatility and Risk? 

While volatility is not the same as risk, the chances of incurring a loss may increase during periods of market volatility, in large part, that’s because investors become anxious about falling share prices and sell when they might be better off holding.

See what you know about the difference between risk and volatility by taking this brief quiz.

 1. What is market volatility?

a. Asset prices rising over a period of time.

b. Asset prices falling over a period of time.

c. The frequency and size of asset price swings, higher and lower.

d. A measure of how easy it is to buy and sell stock.

 

2. What is risk?

a. The chance of losing some or all of an investment.

b. The chance that actual investment returns will be different from anticipated investment returns.

c. A vulnerability that can be managed through asset allocation and diversification.

d. All of the above.

 

3. How can the effects of stock market volatility be limited?

a. By timing the market

b. By avoiding bonds

c. Through asset allocation and investment diversification

d. By avoiding stocks

 

4. Which famous investor said, “When people are desperately trying to sell, I buy. When people are desperately trying to buy, I sell. It has worked out very well over the years.”

a. Warren Buffett

b. Abby Joseph Cohen

c. Sir John Templeton

d. Abigail Johnson

Answers: 1) c1; 2) d2; 3) c3; 4) c4

 

If you feel overwhelmed and uncertain because of volatile markets, give us a call. You don’t have to go it alone! We can help you make sound decisions during difficult times.

Not a Cornerstone client?

Discover what’s possible when our 140 years of combined team experience and 30 years in business goes to work for you! Call 605-352-9490 or email cfsteam@mycfsgroup.com.

 

 

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. N/A means not applicable.

Sources

1 https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/what-is-volatility/

2 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/risk.asp

3 https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/121014/protect-retirement-money-market-volatility.asp

4 https://novelinvestor.com/quote-author/john-templeton/

CSP #242150 Exp. 7.18.24